45 deaths have been reported from Hurricane Dorian, but 45,000 seems a more logical and accurate estimate.

Bahama Death Toll of 40,000 from Hurricane Dorian: My Estimate

 

Hurricanes and Climate Change

https://scied.ucar.edu/hurricanes-and-climate-change

More Precipitation

A hurricane’s ability to produce rain is affected by the temperature of the air and ocean water. Warm air can hold more moisture; more moisture often leads to more rain. That’s how climate change causes wetter storms.  Researchers studying Hurricane Harvey found that human-induced climate change made extreme rainfall more likely. In general, models show hurricane rainfall increasing by 10 to 15 percent on average by the end of the century. That means that we may see more storms like Harvey.

Stronger Winds

There’s evidence that over this century anthropogenic climate change will cause more intense tropical cyclones globally. Hurricane intensity is characterized by the strength of a storm’s winds.

Warmer water causes hurricanes and tropical storms to become more intense, with faster wind speeds. The storms draw energy from warm ocean water which can cause a weak storm with moderate winds to intensify into a strong and destructive storm. For example, Harvey had weakened to a tropical storm before it encountered warm water in the Gulf of Mexico and strengthened to a Category 4 storm.

Sea surface temperature rose an average of 1.5 F between 1901 and 2016 and the tropical sea surface has warmed faster than the global average. During this century, the temperature of the sea surface is projected to warm even faster, which will fuel stronger hurricanes in the tropics. Some models predict that, toward the end of the century, although there may not be more storms (and there could possibly be fewer storms), more of them will be Category 4 and 5 hurricanes.

Sea Level Rise and Vulnerability

Thirty-nine percent of the US population lives in coastal communities putting many people directly in harm’s way because of rising seas and potentially more intense hurricanes. Sea level is predicted to rise between 29 and 82 centimeters (about one to three feet) by the end of the century as a warmer planet causes thermal expansion of the seas and melting glaciers and ice sheets according to the 2014 report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Sea level rise will make storm surge flooding during hurricanes, when the ocean level rises temporarily due to the storm, more devastating.

If global climate keeps warming, hurricanes are likely to be more intense and potentially more destructive. Storm surges and intense rainfall will cause more flooding. Storms like Hurricane Harvey in 2017 may seem less like unusually catastrophic anomalies and more like the new normal.

 

Are Engineers creating plausible solutions to stop hurricanes?

https://amp.businessinsider.com/how-to-stop-a-hurricane-sulfate-cooling-2015-11

 

List of Deadliest Hurricanes

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_deadliest_Atlantic_hurricanes

This is a list of the deadliest Atlantic hurricanes, including all known storms that caused at least 1,000 direct deaths. The deadliest Atlantic hurricane in recorded history was the Great Hurricane of 1780, which resulted in 22,000–27,501 fatalities. In recent years, the deadliest hurricane was Hurricane Mitch of 1998, with at least 11,374 deaths attributed to it.

Hurricanes reported to have caused possibly or known over a thousand deaths or more.

Name Dates active Areas affected Deaths Refs
Nicaragua 1605 1,300
Straits of Florida September 5, 1622 1,090
Cuba and Florida October 1644 1,500
Martinique and Guadeloup August 14–15, 1666 2,000
Barbados September 27, 1694 1,000+
Bahamas July 31, 1715 Bahamas, Florida Treasure Coast Hurricane of 1715 1,000–2,500
Martinique August 5–7, 1767 1,600
Havana October 15, 1768 43–1,000
Newfoundland August 29–September 9, 1775 North Carolina, Virginia, Newfoundland 4,000 – 4,163
Pointe-à-Pitre Bay September 5, 1776 6,000+
The St. Lucia Hurricane of 1780 June 13, 1780 Puerto Rico St. Lucia 4,000–5,000
The Savanna-la-Mar Hurricane of 1780 October 1–5, 1780 3,000
Great Hurricane of 1780 October 9–20, 1780 Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Bermuda 22,000–27,501
Solano’s Hurricane October 18–21, 1780 Gulf of Mexico 2,000
Florida 1781 2,000+
1782 Central Atlantic hurricane September 16, 1782 destroyed Admiral Thomas Graves fleet 3,000+
Great Cuba Hurricane of 1791 June 21–22, 1791 3,000
Martinique and Dominica August 25, 1813 3,000+
1825 Santa Ana hurricane July 26–27, 1825 Caribbean and Puerto Rico 1,300+
Great Caribbean-Louisiana Hurricane of 1831 August 10–17, 1831 Barbados, St. Vincent, Haiti, Cuba Louisiana 2,500

 

All of these tropical cyclones are featured within the Atlantic hurricane database. Data on these cyclones is generally considered accurate.

Name Dates active Saffir-Simpson Category Sustained
wind speeds
Pressure Areas affected Damage
(US$)
Deaths Refs
San Marcos October 5–14, 1870 Category 3 hurricane 115 mph (185 km/h) 959 hPa (28.32 inHg) Cuba, Florida, Bahamas $12 million 800–2,000 [1]
Sea Islands August 15 – September 2, 1893 Category 3 hurricane 120 mph (195 km/h) 954 hPa (28.17 inHg) Georgia, South Carolina $1 million 1,000–2,000
Chenier Caminanda September 27 – October 5, 1893 Category 4 hurricane 135 mph (215 km/h) 948 hPa (27.99 inHg) Yucatán Peninsula, Louisiana, Mississippi $5 million 1,800–2,000
San Ciriaco August 3 – September 4, 1899 Category 4 hurricane 150 mph (240 km/h) 930 hPa (27.46 inHg) Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Eastern United States $20 million 3,855
Galveston August 27 – September 15, 1900 Category 4 hurricane 145 mph (230 km/h) 936 hPa (27.64 inHg) The Caribbean, Texas $20 million 8,000–12,000
Monterrey August 20–28, 1909 Category 3 hurricane 120 mph (195 km/h) 955 hPa (28.20 inHg) Greater Antilles, Mexico $50 million 4,000
Okeechobee September 6–20, 1928 Category 5 hurricane 160 mph (260 km/h) 924 hPa (27.29 inHg) Lesser Antilles, Puerto Rico, Florida $100 million 4,075
San Zenon August 29 – September 17, 1930 Category 4 hurricane 155 mph (250 km/h) 933 hPa (27.55 inHg) Lesser Antilles, Hispaniola $50 million 2,000–8,000
Belize September 6–13, 1931 Category 4 hurricane 135 mph (215 km/h) 952 hPa (28.11 inHg) Belize $7.5 million 1,500–2,500
Cuba October 30 – November 13, 1932 Category 5 hurricane 175 mph (280 km/h) 915 hPa (27.02 inHg) Netherlands Antilles, Cuba, Bahamas $40 million 2,500–3,107
Central America June 4–18, 1934 Category 2 hurricane 100 mph (160 km/h) 966 hPa (28.53 inHg) Central America, Eastern United States $2.6 million 2,000–3,000
Jérémie October 18–27, 1935 Category 1 hurricane 85 mph (137 km/h) 988 hPa (29.18 inHg) Greater Antilles, Central America $16 million 2,150
Janet September 21–30, 1955 Category 5 hurricane 175 mph (280 km/h) 914 (26.99 inHg) Barbados, Windward Islands, British Honduras, Yucatán Peninsula, Mainland Mexico $65.8 million 1,023
Flora September 26 – October 12, 1963 Category 4 hurricane 145 mph (230 km/h) 940 hPa (27.76 inHg) The Caribbean, Florida $529 million 7,193 [2]
Fifi-Orlene September 14–24, 1974 Category 2 hurricane 110 mph (180 km/h) 971 hPa (28.67 inHg) Jamaica, Central America, Mexico $1.8 billion 8,210 [3][4]
David August 25 – September 8, 1979 Category 5 hurricane 175 mph (280 km/h) 924 hPa (27.29 inHg) The Caribbean, United States East coast $1.54 billion 2,068 [5][6]
Gordon November 8–21, 1994 Category 1 hurricane 85 mph (140 km/h) 980 hPa (28.94 inHg) Central America, Greater Antilles, Florida $594 million 1,152
Mitch October 22 – November 5, 1998 Category 5 hurricane 180 mph (285 km/h) 905 hPa (26.72 inHg) Central America, Yucatán Peninsula, South Florida $6.08 billion 11,374–19,000 [7][8][9]
Jeanne September 13–28, 2004 Category 3 hurricane 120 mph (195 km/h) 950 hPa (28.05 inHg) The Caribbean, Eastern United States $7.94 billion 3,037 [5][10][11][12]
Katrina August 23–30, 2005 Category 5 hurricane 175 mph (280 km/h) 902 hPa (26.64 inHg) Bahamas, United States Gulf Coast $125 billion 1,836 [13]
Stan October 1–5, 2005 Category 1 hurricane 80 mph (130 km/h) 977 hPa (28.85 inHg) Mexico, Central America $3.96 billion 1,668 [5][14]
Maria September 16 – October 2, 2017 Category 5 hurricane 175 mph (280 km/h) 908 hPa (26.81 inHg) Lesser Antilles (particularly Dominica), Puerto Rico $96.1 billion 3,059 [15]

 

Author’s comments

Comparing the above data, you can see that if proved correct in verifying a more logical estimate of 45,000 deaths from Hurricane Dorian, then this would mean it would be a substantial increase in deaths from a hurricane in recent times by more than tenfold, and the largest death fatality by a hurricane of all time, by two fold.  This would seriously imply that Climate change due to increases in ocean temperatures would be responsible for creating such a large amount of moisture in the air precipitated from the oceans over heating and more warm air rising than usual in more recent years!

We have to act now with creating our innovative design solutions!

History belongs to those that claim it!

At a funeral Benjamin Franklin stated that, “If you would not be forgotten as soon as you are dead and rotten, either, write something worth reading or do something worth writing about”.

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